Fault Lines

Systemic risk in geopolitics, credit and markets.

Section

China Vs Taiwan

Coercion below the threshold of war, and the chokepoints that make it global.

Analysis

The quarantine scenario

The most likely coercion of Taiwan is not an invasion. It is a law enforcement operation that the world has no agreed way to answer.

The Editors · 17 August 2026 · 8 min read